Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.184732 0.196834 0.209509 0.223808 0.239529 0.256332 0.275708
2025-05-11 0.158405 0.176157 0.195928 0.219744 0.247878 0.280333 0.321022
2025-05-18 0.141211 0.161952 0.186115 0.216706 0.254936 0.301877 0.365075
2025-05-25 0.127635 0.149779 0.176464 0.211573 0.257458 0.316752 0.401580
2025-06-01 0.118031 0.141143 0.169789 0.208726 0.261625 0.333161 0.441376
2025-06-08 0.110503 0.134264 0.164432 0.206612 0.265919 0.349498 0.482696
2025-06-15 0.106083 0.130887 0.163119 0.209456 0.276893 0.376035 0.542989
2025-06-22 0.099641 0.124332 0.156974 0.204891 0.276481 0.385250 0.576664
2025-06-29 0.093089 0.117197 0.149508 0.197739 0.271357 0.386293 0.596239
2025-07-06 0.087625 0.111220 0.143243 0.191794 0.267395 0.388520 0.617905
2025-07-13 0.085461 0.109643 0.143011 0.194662 0.277297 0.414481 0.687819
2025-07-20 0.083405 0.108075 0.142649 0.197223 0.286825 0.440819 0.763686
2025-07-27 0.080590 0.105366 0.140579 0.197163 0.292321 0.461291 0.833464
2025-08-03 0.077528 0.102176 0.137649 0.195583 0.295175 0.477484 0.898435
2025-08-10 0.074576 0.099004 0.134567 0.193521 0.296966 0.491870 0.963013
2025-08-17 0.071310 0.095219 0.130348 0.189288 0.294449 0.497357 1.007202
2025-08-24 0.068730 0.092338 0.127365 0.186895 0.295036 0.509190 1.071044
2025-08-31 0.066474 0.089844 0.124849 0.185098 0.296522 0.523034 1.144394
2025-09-07 0.065338 0.088980 0.124826 0.187535 0.306227 0.555993 1.283816
2025-09-14 0.062888 0.086010 0.121308 0.183629 0.303168 0.559820 1.335164
2025-09-21 0.060104 0.082433 0.116674 0.177499 0.295205 0.551347 1.344407
2025-09-28 0.057682 0.079344 0.112720 0.172392 0.288952 0.546275 1.364467
2025-10-05 0.056948 0.078853 0.112968 0.174857 0.298367 0.580273 1.535007